Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 85.228265 95.221628 105.394470 116.493978 128.233330 140.251503 153.456614
2025-08-31 68.703369 83.045553 98.262348 115.483450 134.311911 154.163464 176.569075
2025-09-07 60.029318 76.938240 95.423653 116.877034 140.851376 166.604592 196.153168
2025-09-14 53.647430 72.473217 93.602501 118.651247 147.148763 178.218926 214.326861
2025-09-21 46.978361 66.946118 89.950282 117.783736 149.982026 185.565208 227.392864
2025-09-28 40.547169 61.099961 85.419172 115.442559 150.735415 190.237624 237.164188
2025-10-05 38.351535 60.202879 86.559239 119.557599 158.773356 203.041291 255.996096
2025-10-12 35.672306 58.445080 86.460358 122.033483 164.766333 213.404646 271.977121
2025-10-19 31.875547 54.937546 83.966654 121.419173 166.949439 219.241506 282.669461
2025-10-26 28.496807 51.716445 81.621006 120.804303 168.981909 224.784086 292.922685
2025-11-02 26.005122 49.510261 80.419727 121.478081 172.461059 231.941842 304.984383
2025-11-09 23.145354 46.559142 78.079055 120.581210 173.919450 236.628456 314.094661
2025-11-16 20.924431 44.393896 76.698246 120.864393 176.824921 243.070223 325.336511
2025-11-23 18.404972 41.573374 74.288106 119.711562 177.873895 247.239677 333.868719
2025-11-30 16.975475 40.311980 73.927885 121.154048 182.102185 255.190976 346.847882
2025-12-07 15.782431 39.325870 73.883684 122.961649 186.754171 263.633475 360.401145
2025-12-14 13.902904 37.040026 71.881160 122.076775 187.933791 267.810099 368.828064
2025-12-21 11.798733 34.146715 68.849261 119.686885 187.100477 269.455995 374.162752
2025-12-28 11.572367 34.561548 70.669435 123.887128 194.726266 281.487955 392.002858
2026-01-04 10.946840 34.189269 71.283434 126.413659 200.182263 290.846493 406.624973
2026-01-11 9.629163 32.386065 69.657098 125.786823 201.506316 295.070144 415.017501
2026-01-18 8.432062 30.672542 68.078611 125.159390 202.779763 299.195570 423.264939
2026-01-25 7.608917 29.616465 67.465157 125.846934 205.749195 305.414892 434.049701